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The GOP has one big problem in November

President Trump took to Twitter on Saturday to lash out at someone. (I know, what's new?) While Trump's target, spec...

Posted: Jul 23, 2018 9:37 AM
Updated: Jul 23, 2018 9:37 AM

President Trump took to Twitter on Saturday to lash out at someone. (I know, what's new?) While Trump's target, special counsel Robert Mueller, was familiar, Trump's line of attack was new. The President tweeted that the Mueller investigation "seems intent on damaging the Republican Party's chances in the November Election."

But let's get real for a moment. The person who is actually hurting the GOP's election prospects this fall is not Mueller. Rather, ironically enough, it's the head of the Republican Party. And that would be Donald J. Trump.

Just look at Trump's recent actions and policies that are increasingly unpopular with much of the American electorate.

Last week Trump held a disastrous summit with Russian President Vladimir Putin in which he publicly sided with the Russian leader over our nation's intelligence agencies. While Trump tried to walk that comment back in an unintentionally comedic statement about "double negatives," as a new CBS poll makes clear, only 32% of voters approved of Trump's "performance" at the summit.

Did Mueller play a role in Trump's comments at the summit or his bumbling walk back? No, that was all Trump.

Then there's Trump's family separation policy that dominated the headlines for much of June. This cruel policy that resulted in children being ripped away from their mothers and fathers was even less popular than Trump's dreadful performance at the Helsinki summit.

As a CNN poll last month found, only 28% of Americans approved of that heartbreaking policy. In contrast, nearly two thirds of all Americans -- including nearly 70% of independent voters -- disapproved of Trump's immigration policy.

Did the Mueller investigation produce this heartless family separation policy? No, once again the credit belongs to Trump.

There's also Trump's numerous tariffs against our friends and competitors -- from Canada to China to the European Union. We are now seeing how these economic policies are having a negative impact on some Americans. Trump's trade war hits parts of the Midwest particularly hard, especially since China has responded with tariffs on farm products, cars and crude oil.

For example, as Bret Davis, an Ohio farmer who also serves as a director of the American Soybean Association, recently told Politico: "Since the announcement of the tariffs: we've lost 20% of our income in soybeans, that's nationally." GOP leaders are so concerned that Trump's tariffs will hurt Republican congressional candidates in the Midwest this fall that Vice President Mike Pence recently headed out to the region on a "damage control" mission to speak with GOP activists and donors.

And just a few days ago, the Tax Foundation, which generally favors conservative policies, warned that Trump's trade wars could cost 365,000 American jobs. Given all that, it's no surprise that a recent Pew poll finds that only 40% of Americans support Trump's tariffs. (And if more Americans lose their jobs and prices continue to increase, we can expect Trump's support to fall even further.)

Unless Mueller took a break from his investigation into the Russian government's attack on our 2016 elections to draft the President's trade policy, this again is the work of one man: Trump.

Now add to that Trump's personal woes. For example, we learned on Friday about a secret recording of a discussion between Trump and his former personal lawyer Michael Cohen that took place shortly before the 2016 election. In it, they discussed Trump buying the rights to a story about his alleged affair with former Playboy playmate Karen McDougal.

If true, this raises possible election law violations if Trump used campaign funds to buy McDougal's silence. It also raises the question of whether Trump cheated on his wife Melania shortly after she gave birth to their son.

How exactly is Mueller part of this? Answer: He's not.

All of this is likely having a growing impact on how Americans say they will vote this November. In late May, before these Trump policies and errors were in the news, a generic congressional ballot showed Democrats, on average, with only a 3.2% edge -- their favorability having narrowed significantly since earlier in the year.

Flash forward to today and Democrats have more than doubled their lead to 7.7%. Clearly, an increasing number of Americans want to send a message they don't approve of Trump -- and that they will elect Democrats to Congress who will act as a check on him.

Now to be fair, the political party of the President always tends to lose seats in midterm elections. So, it was very likely Republicans were going to lose some seats in Congress come this fall anyway.

But given Trump's unpopular policies and personal misconduct, if the Republicans find themselves drowning in a massive "blue wave" come election day, it won't be the fault of Mueller.

No, the blame for that will fall squarely on the shoulders of one person: Donald Trump.

Mississippi Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 29684

Reported Deaths: 1103
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Hinds238239
DeSoto148616
Madison126734
Jones110449
Neshoba98171
Lauderdale90079
Rankin88812
Forrest85142
Harrison84210
Scott76215
Copiah59216
Jackson58416
Leake57019
Holmes54441
Wayne53513
Lee53218
Oktibbeha53226
Washington5319
Warren49618
Yazoo4936
Leflore48049
Lowndes47212
Lincoln44334
Lamar4407
Grenada4325
Pike40712
Monroe38830
Lafayette3774
Attala35823
Sunflower3467
Newton3389
Covington3345
Panola3256
Bolivar32114
Adams29318
Simpson2833
Pontotoc2736
Marion27011
Tate2709
Chickasaw26918
Claiborne25610
Jasper2566
Winston2546
Noxubee2538
Pearl River24832
Clay24710
Marshall2173
Smith21611
Clarke20524
Coahoma1916
Union1919
Walthall1804
Kemper17714
Lawrence1701
Yalobusha1677
Carroll16411
Itawamba1348
Humphreys1329
Calhoun1284
Tippah12811
Hancock12613
Webster12610
Montgomery1242
Tallahatchie1224
Jefferson Davis1094
Prentiss1023
Greene1018
Jefferson993
Tunica933
Wilkinson929
Amite892
George783
Tishomingo741
Quitman730
Choctaw724
Perry654
Alcorn631
Stone571
Franklin412
Sharkey340
Benton300
Issaquena91
Unassigned00

Alabama Coronavirus Cases

Confirmed Cases: 41362

Reported Deaths: 983
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Jefferson4802152
Montgomery3947103
Mobile3904134
Tuscaloosa218842
Marshall168010
Lee130237
Madison12717
Shelby117623
Morgan10475
Walker90524
Franklin87814
Dallas8689
Elmore86414
Baldwin8289
Etowah70713
DeKalb6945
Butler62328
Chambers61227
Tallapoosa58369
Autauga56012
Russell5190
Unassigned50323
Lauderdale4736
Limestone4660
Lowndes46321
Houston4614
Cullman4354
Pike4175
Colbert3836
Coffee3702
Bullock3679
St. Clair3472
Barbour3452
Covington3437
Escambia3326
Calhoun3225
Hale30621
Marengo30011
Talladega3007
Wilcox2898
Sumter28412
Clarke2726
Dale2680
Jackson2632
Winston2463
Monroe2312
Chilton2282
Blount2261
Pickens2226
Marion21413
Randolph2019
Conecuh1977
Choctaw19512
Bibb1861
Greene1838
Macon1819
Perry1621
Henry1313
Crenshaw1253
Lawrence1050
Washington1047
Cherokee857
Geneva780
Lamar751
Fayette671
Clay622
Coosa581
Cleburne361
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