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The GOP has one big problem in November

President Trump took to Twitter on Saturday to lash out at someone. (I know, what's new?) While Trump's target, spec...

Posted: Jul 23, 2018 9:37 AM
Updated: Jul 23, 2018 9:37 AM

President Trump took to Twitter on Saturday to lash out at someone. (I know, what's new?) While Trump's target, special counsel Robert Mueller, was familiar, Trump's line of attack was new. The President tweeted that the Mueller investigation "seems intent on damaging the Republican Party's chances in the November Election."

But let's get real for a moment. The person who is actually hurting the GOP's election prospects this fall is not Mueller. Rather, ironically enough, it's the head of the Republican Party. And that would be Donald J. Trump.

Just look at Trump's recent actions and policies that are increasingly unpopular with much of the American electorate.

Last week Trump held a disastrous summit with Russian President Vladimir Putin in which he publicly sided with the Russian leader over our nation's intelligence agencies. While Trump tried to walk that comment back in an unintentionally comedic statement about "double negatives," as a new CBS poll makes clear, only 32% of voters approved of Trump's "performance" at the summit.

Did Mueller play a role in Trump's comments at the summit or his bumbling walk back? No, that was all Trump.

Then there's Trump's family separation policy that dominated the headlines for much of June. This cruel policy that resulted in children being ripped away from their mothers and fathers was even less popular than Trump's dreadful performance at the Helsinki summit.

As a CNN poll last month found, only 28% of Americans approved of that heartbreaking policy. In contrast, nearly two thirds of all Americans -- including nearly 70% of independent voters -- disapproved of Trump's immigration policy.

Did the Mueller investigation produce this heartless family separation policy? No, once again the credit belongs to Trump.

There's also Trump's numerous tariffs against our friends and competitors -- from Canada to China to the European Union. We are now seeing how these economic policies are having a negative impact on some Americans. Trump's trade war hits parts of the Midwest particularly hard, especially since China has responded with tariffs on farm products, cars and crude oil.

For example, as Bret Davis, an Ohio farmer who also serves as a director of the American Soybean Association, recently told Politico: "Since the announcement of the tariffs: we've lost 20% of our income in soybeans, that's nationally." GOP leaders are so concerned that Trump's tariffs will hurt Republican congressional candidates in the Midwest this fall that Vice President Mike Pence recently headed out to the region on a "damage control" mission to speak with GOP activists and donors.

And just a few days ago, the Tax Foundation, which generally favors conservative policies, warned that Trump's trade wars could cost 365,000 American jobs. Given all that, it's no surprise that a recent Pew poll finds that only 40% of Americans support Trump's tariffs. (And if more Americans lose their jobs and prices continue to increase, we can expect Trump's support to fall even further.)

Unless Mueller took a break from his investigation into the Russian government's attack on our 2016 elections to draft the President's trade policy, this again is the work of one man: Trump.

Now add to that Trump's personal woes. For example, we learned on Friday about a secret recording of a discussion between Trump and his former personal lawyer Michael Cohen that took place shortly before the 2016 election. In it, they discussed Trump buying the rights to a story about his alleged affair with former Playboy playmate Karen McDougal.

If true, this raises possible election law violations if Trump used campaign funds to buy McDougal's silence. It also raises the question of whether Trump cheated on his wife Melania shortly after she gave birth to their son.

How exactly is Mueller part of this? Answer: He's not.

All of this is likely having a growing impact on how Americans say they will vote this November. In late May, before these Trump policies and errors were in the news, a generic congressional ballot showed Democrats, on average, with only a 3.2% edge -- their favorability having narrowed significantly since earlier in the year.

Flash forward to today and Democrats have more than doubled their lead to 7.7%. Clearly, an increasing number of Americans want to send a message they don't approve of Trump -- and that they will elect Democrats to Congress who will act as a check on him.

Now to be fair, the political party of the President always tends to lose seats in midterm elections. So, it was very likely Republicans were going to lose some seats in Congress come this fall anyway.

But given Trump's unpopular policies and personal misconduct, if the Republicans find themselves drowning in a massive "blue wave" come election day, it won't be the fault of Mueller.

No, the blame for that will fall squarely on the shoulders of one person: Donald Trump.

Mississippi Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Cases: 331863

Reported Deaths: 7494
CountyCasesDeaths
DeSoto22855279
Hinds22625437
Harrison19462326
Rankin14765286
Jackson14233251
Madison10658227
Lee10398178
Jones8713169
Forrest8164157
Lauderdale7528243
Lowndes6761150
Lamar665988
Lafayette6446124
Washington5497139
Bolivar4907134
Pearl River4889149
Oktibbeha476898
Panola4719112
Marshall4648106
Warren4612125
Pontotoc438873
Monroe4243137
Union424379
Neshoba4179180
Lincoln4088115
Hancock402788
Leflore3562125
Pike3511111
Tate348988
Alcorn343174
Sunflower342293
Adams331987
Yazoo330573
Scott330175
Simpson313690
Copiah311467
Itawamba309580
Coahoma308285
Tippah298368
Prentiss292563
Covington280183
Marion278980
Leake277975
Wayne269942
Grenada265688
George259851
Newton256064
Tishomingo235769
Winston235084
Jasper225748
Attala220373
Chickasaw215960
Stone209137
Holmes194974
Clay191554
Tallahatchie181542
Clarke181480
Calhoun177332
Smith175334
Yalobusha169240
Walthall140448
Lawrence137026
Greene134934
Amite131843
Noxubee131135
Perry130838
Montgomery130644
Carroll124531
Webster116732
Jefferson Davis112934
Tunica110827
Benton104425
Claiborne104231
Kemper100329
Humphreys99033
Franklin85923
Quitman83519
Choctaw80919
Wilkinson73232
Jefferson69028
Sharkey51518
Issaquena1696
Unassigned00

Alabama Coronavirus Cases

Cases: 565510

Reported Deaths: 11468
CountyCasesDeaths
Jefferson828061584
Mobile44938853
Madison36534532
Tuscaloosa26589465
Shelby26409255
Montgomery25598623
Baldwin23319324
Lee16691179
Calhoun15030332
Morgan14877288
Etowah14563368
Marshall12723235
Houston11302292
Elmore10576217
St. Clair10449251
Limestone10420158
Cullman10198204
Lauderdale9883253
DeKalb9226191
Talladega8705187
Walker7545286
Autauga7388113
Jackson7216117
Blount7147139
Colbert6522142
Coffee5962131
Dale5224117
Russell463942
Chilton4603117
Covington4502125
Franklin439781
Tallapoosa4343156
Escambia414782
Chambers3813124
Dallas3674163
Clarke361562
Marion3354106
Pike323179
Lawrence3176101
Winston289672
Bibb276165
Geneva267383
Marengo257367
Barbour241860
Pickens238862
Butler233571
Hale230578
Fayette223863
Henry203345
Cherokee192347
Randolph192244
Monroe190241
Washington174539
Macon167252
Crenshaw163457
Clay161859
Cleburne158445
Lamar149138
Lowndes143854
Wilcox128431
Bullock125342
Conecuh117730
Coosa115229
Perry109628
Sumter107532
Greene95935
Choctaw63125
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Columbus
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Oxford
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High pressure gradually builds into our area over the next several days. This will gradually dwindle away chances for some showers and thunderstorms. As the chances for rainfall dwindle, chances for greater heat and heat index values will increase.
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