What Larry Kudlow thinks about trade, taxes, stocks and recessions

Wall Street will probably like President Trump's pick of Larry Kudlow as the next head of the National Economic Counc...

Posted: Mar 15, 2018 10:28 PM
Updated: Mar 15, 2018 10:28 PM

Wall Street will probably like President Trump's pick of Larry Kudlow as the next head of the National Economic Council.

But the choice might also be at odds with Trump's increasingly protectionist stance on trade.

Two sources familiar with the decision told CNN on Wednesday that Trump would name Kudlow, a conservative CNBC commentator, to replace Gary Cohn, who resigned last week after a disagreement with Trump over tariffs.

Kudlow was a former Reagan administration economist, who became the chief economist for now-defunct Wall Street investment bank Bear Stearns. He is staunchly pro-free trade.

In fact, Kudlow co-wrote an editorial for CNBC and the National Review earlier this month with prominent economists Arthur Laffer and Stephen Moore, a CNN contributor, urging Trump to consider that tariffs will wind up as taxes on American consumers.

They added that the tariffs could also lead to massive job losses.

Kudlow says tariffs put 5 million US jobs 'at risk'

Kudlow, Laffer and Moore wrote that "we are imposing sanctions on our own country, putting up tariffs supposedly to make Americans more prosperous. If ever there were a crisis of logic, this is it."

They also said that the tariffs "put at risk 5 million jobs in industries that use steel" and that "steel-and-aluminum users and consumers lose."

To be sure, Kudlow has defended Trump on other economic policy issues, particularly the recent tax cuts.

Kudlow is a fan of tax cuts, but...

Kudlow wrote last December for CNBC that "Trump and the GOP are on the side of the growth angels with the passage of powerful tax-cut legislation to boost business investment, wages, and take-home family pay. The Democrats, meanwhile, are left with stale class-warfare slogans about tax cuts for the rich."

Related: Larry Kudlow and the Trump-TV feedback loop

And in an appearance on CNBC earlier this month, Kudlow said that Trump was "so good on taxes, he's so good on tax cuts, he's so good on deregulation, infrastructure -- I even like him on immigration."

But Kudlow ended his comments with this zinger about Trump. "He's never been good on trade."

...Kudlow worries Trump is watching stock market too much

Kudlow also recently warned Trump to stop obsessing about the stock market so much. He even noted that when he was in the Reagan administration, Reagan focused more on the broader economy -- even after the infamous Black Monday Wall Street plunge of October 1987.

"During the 1987 crash, Reagan went out there and said that the economy is fundamentally sound. And he was right, and the market rebounded," Kudlow said on CNBC after stocks plunged in February following the January jobs report.

"If I were the Trump team, I would talk about that in fact, the economy is improving. And that's all there is to it," he added. (Has Trump been listening? It's worth noting that the president has avoided talking about the market on Twitter for the past few weeks.)

'Recessions are therapeutic?' -- Not something Kudlow should say in DC

Kudlow has also said things in some opinion pieces for CNBC about the economy that he probably won't be able to utter in public if he takes a job in the Trump White House.

He wrote in April 2000 as the economy was in the midst of the Great Recession that "recessions are part of capitalism. They happen every so often."

Kudlow added that "recessions are therapeutic. They're even necessary to create the foundations for the next recovery. Economic excesses always occur in free-market capitalist economies, and from time to time they must be cleansed."

He's not wrong about that. But that plainspoken type of talk is fine when you are a commentator for a TV network. It doesn't usually work so well in Washington though.

- CNN's Kevin Liptak and Dan Merica contributed to this report.

Mississippi Coronavirus Cases

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CountyConfirmedDeaths
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Warren154855
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Winston84121
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Attala79426
Clarke75851
Clay69321
Jasper68717
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Calhoun62612
Noxubee59817
Smith59416
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Yalobusha54514
Claiborne53716
Tunica53517
Lawrence51814
Perry49423
Carroll49312
Greene47818
Stone47514
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Amite42513
Quitman4206
Jefferson Davis41011
Webster37613
Benton3416
Wilkinson33820
Kemper32615
Sharkey28514
Jefferson27610
Franklin2423
Choctaw2086
Issaquena1074
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Alabama Coronavirus Cases

Confirmed Cases: 158701

Reported Deaths: 2680
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Jefferson23292377
Mobile16916315
Tuscaloosa10345140
Montgomery10250197
Madison935096
Shelby739063
Baldwin665869
Lee654665
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Jackson215915
Autauga205931
Franklin205531
Colbert202132
Russell19493
Blount193225
Chilton188432
Dallas186627
Coffee177111
Dale176351
Covington174729
Escambia172730
Clarke135217
Chambers135044
Pike134113
Tallapoosa132987
Marion108129
Barbour10339
Marengo101922
Butler101140
Winston92913
Geneva9067
Lawrence85832
Pickens85218
Bibb84014
Randolph82716
Hale76830
Washington74912
Clay74412
Cherokee73814
Henry7176
Lowndes71328
Bullock64917
Monroe64610
Crenshaw60830
Perry5926
Fayette57713
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Macon53620
Lamar4965
Sumter47221
Choctaw39212
Greene34216
Coosa2043
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