10 things the Parkland school shooting won't change

On Wednesday afternoon, a 19-year...

Posted: Feb 15, 2018 2:45 PM
Updated: Feb 15, 2018 2:45 PM

On Wednesday afternoon, a 19-year-old brought an AR-15 weapon to a high school in Parkland, Florida. He allegedly shot more than two dozen people, killing 17. It was not the first mass shooting of 2018, and it was one of the 10 deadliest mass shootings in American history.

In the wake of the latest school shooting, a familiar blueprint took hold. Republicans expressed condolences for the victims. Democrats demanded action and scolded Republicans for their inaction. President Donald Trump tweeted. Journalists cited statistics on the number of school shootings. Polls were shared that showed strong support for things like universal background checks. And people wondered openly whether this time would change anything.

"Lots of people lamenting 'nothing will change' today," tweeted Connecticut Sen. Chris Murphy, a Democrat and leading gun control advocate. "That's what people said before the Montgomery boycott. That's what people said before Stonewall. Change happens, if at the moment when it seems most unlikely, you decide to do more."

That's a hopeful and important sentiment. And, Murphy is right. Nothing changes until everything does.

But, if past is prologue, this shooting won't change much of anything. Here's a list of what likely won't change -- in no particular order than how I thought of them:

1. The National Rifle Association will insist this is not about guns but mental illness.

2. Some sort of legislative fix -- not any broad-scale gun reform but a more narrow-cast solution -- will emerge. After the Las Vegas shooting, it was banning bump stocks. (Remember those?) After Newtown, it was limiting high-capacity rifles and closing several background check loopholes.

3. That legislative solution will be decried as insufficient by gun control advocates.

4. It will fail -- likely without even a vote of any sort.

5. Gun sales nationwide will remain steady -- and may even grow slightly in the days immediately following Wednesday's shootings.

6. Gun rights advocates will argue that any attempts to limit the ability buy or own guns is a slippery slope leading to some sort of nationalized collection of all guns.

7. Gun control groups like Everytown will tout petitions packed with hundreds of thousands of signatures pushing for common-sense gun reform. They will also promise to defeat those who stand against these common-sense changes. They will spend real money against those candidates. Most -- if not all -- of those candidates will win anyway.

8. Democrats who want to run for president will insist that we can't forget this shooting. That this is the tipping point. They will pledge to talk relentlessly about the need for common sense gun reforms. They will say it will be at the center of their campaign. With the possible exception of Murphy, they won't make good on that pledge.

9. The average person will think that this is a terrible tragedy. Some (many?) will think it could be prevented. Others will dismiss it as a sad reality of modern society. Most of them will forget about it by this weekend. It will recede to the back of almost everyone's mind by next weekend.

10. There will be an other Parkland. Then another. Then another. These 10 steps will repeat themselves. On and on and on again.

Mississippi Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 15229

Reported Deaths: 723
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Hinds99925
Lauderdale73561
Madison72023
Scott65012
Neshoba63038
Jones59825
Forrest55338
DeSoto5337
Rankin4217
Leake42112
Holmes39728
Copiah3104
Jackson30513
Attala29216
Yazoo2734
Newton2714
Leflore25831
Harrison2577
Lincoln25628
Monroe25525
Lamar2355
Oktibbeha23512
Lowndes2119
Pearl River20931
Pike20211
Adams19615
Noxubee1856
Wayne1771
Warren1719
Washington1687
Covington1652
Bolivar16011
Jasper1574
Smith15011
Lee1496
Kemper14411
Clarke14318
Chickasaw13312
Lafayette1314
Coahoma1214
Carroll11711
Marion1159
Clay1124
Winston1121
Claiborne1112
Lawrence1021
Simpson1010
Yalobusha905
Hancock9011
Tate891
Grenada893
Wilkinson889
Itawamba877
Union835
Marshall833
Montgomery831
Sunflower813
Jefferson Davis772
Tippah7311
Panola703
Webster691
Calhoun644
Humphreys607
Amite601
Walthall550
Tunica543
Prentiss523
Perry503
Choctaw432
Jefferson421
Tishomingo320
Pontotoc323
Stone300
Franklin282
Tallahatchie271
Quitman260
George251
Alcorn171
Benton150
Greene121
Sharkey70
Unassigned00

Alabama Coronavirus Cases

Confirmed Cases: 17359

Reported Deaths: 618
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Mobile2191115
Jefferson1780102
Montgomery163238
Tuscaloosa73814
Marshall6879
Franklin5457
Lee54033
Shelby50319
Tallapoosa42364
Butler40217
Chambers35325
Walker3442
Elmore3398
Madison3274
Baldwin2839
Dallas2603
Morgan2511
Etowah24811
DeKalb2433
Lowndes23812
Coffee2291
Sumter2206
Autauga2164
Houston2094
Bullock2034
Pike1980
Colbert1782
Russell1670
Marengo1636
Lauderdale1612
Hale1598
Calhoun1543
Choctaw1518
Barbour1501
Wilcox1447
Clarke1422
Cullman1260
Randolph1257
Marion12111
St. Clair1181
Pickens1114
Dale1100
Talladega1093
Chilton1001
Limestone940
Greene944
Winston880
Covington771
Jackson772
Crenshaw763
Macon754
Henry742
Bibb721
Washington686
Blount611
Escambia573
Lawrence480
Geneva400
Conecuh391
Coosa381
Monroe372
Perry370
Cherokee373
Clay272
Lamar230
Fayette150
Cleburne141
Unassigned00
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