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Update on winter weather threat

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Updated: 2/09/2014 3:12 pm
From WTVA chief meteorologist Matt Laubhan:

Heads up... A disruptive winter storm is likely to take shape for Monday into Tuesday. Because of this fact, a Winter Storm Watch has been issued for all of the WTVA viewing area. I encourage you to share this post with your family/friends.

Timing: precipitation will begin Monday with the first round continuing through late Tuesday.

Impacts: snow, sleet, ice, rain. It is possible to see a combination of ice/snow that exceeds 2 to 3 inches for a stripe of the viewing area. Because of the uncertainty on precipitation type, I would recommend preparing for the possibility of impacts to your day-to-day routine. If we end up with more ice, power disruptions will be possible.

Preparation: expect travel to be troublesome late Monday and through much of Tuesday. If ice totals are greater, backroads could have issues through Wednesday morning.

Discussion: this winter storm has variability in its track, because, similar to what happened in Alabama and Georgia a few weeks back, there is not a tightly defined low-pressure center triggering this winter weather event. A big part of the lift is what meteorologists refer to as "channeled vorticity." While this reduces my confidence on the exact track/intensity within the viewing area, it is becoming increasingly clear that winter precipitation is likely through North Mississippi/Alabama.

A layer of just above freezing temperatures aloft could eat into snowfall totals. This layer would turn some of the precipitation into either sleet or freezing rain.

This a scenario where I would rather over-prepare than under prepare. We've all seen what happened through a lack of preparation in Georgia/Alabama recently, so lets be on the safe side. We will have more updates at and tonight on WTVA News.
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